Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.177434 0.204176 0.234840 0.272882 0.319199 0.374266 0.445448
2025-04-06 0.136834 0.171003 0.214702 0.275891 0.361354 0.479678 0.661894
2025-04-13 0.110742 0.146597 0.196169 0.272147 0.390354 0.576126 0.910627
2025-04-20 0.095706 0.132606 0.186930 0.276722 0.430172 0.700967 1.268923
2025-04-27 0.085423 0.122916 0.181108 0.283799 0.474731 0.850449 1.768522
2025-05-04 0.077316 0.114844 0.175771 0.289616 0.518026 1.016050 2.434494
2025-05-11 0.071154 0.108718 0.172224 0.297298 0.567003 1.217732 3.395503
2025-05-18 0.065446 0.102419 0.167125 0.300553 0.607514 1.421519 4.620656
2025-05-25 0.060433 0.096577 0.161799 0.301973 0.644308 1.638090 6.241679
2025-06-01 0.055769 0.090739 0.155533 0.299936 0.672028 1.846942 8.254633
2025-06-08 0.051419 0.084953 0.148513 0.294715 0.689834 2.037503 10.661044
2025-06-15 0.049010 0.082471 0.147652 0.303496 0.750511 2.435221 15.911558
2025-06-22 0.045434 0.077466 0.141110 0.297652 0.767119 2.678658 21.125431
2025-06-29 0.043087 0.074612 0.138733 0.301902 0.818652 3.139235 32.169943
2025-07-06 0.040347 0.070709 0.133595 0.297959 0.841738 3.490639 45.512236
2025-07-13 0.038554 0.068527 0.131964 0.303178 0.900760 4.128688 75.843124
2025-07-20 0.037103 0.066895 0.131349 0.311162 0.975144 4.993176 141.861244
2025-07-27 0.035677 0.065174 0.130300 0.317717 1.048209 6.001983 286.659118
2025-08-03 0.034480 0.063821 0.129946 0.326373 1.136447 7.359284 709.062051
2025-08-10 0.033102 0.061954 0.128110 0.330044 1.204938 8.738409 1927.150473
2025-08-17 0.031729 0.059977 0.125773 0.331645 1.265482 10.249902 6734.634251
2025-08-24 0.030280 0.057715 0.122462 0.329347 1.305593 11.680555 32479.787277
2025-08-31 0.028783 0.055234 0.118332 0.323463 1.323913 12.912927 294809.136559